Isle of Wight

South East · England
-3.6pp WBI 93.8% → 90.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
140,459 Population (2021 Census)
93.8% White British (2021)
91.5% White British (2041 projected)
90.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 93.8%
white other 3.2%
asian 1.2%
black 0.3%
mixed 1.2%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 90.1%
white other 6.4%
asian 1.2%
black 0.4%
mixed 1.7%
other 0.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

-1.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+6.5pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.17 · Dissimilarity: 19.3

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.9%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.1%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 23.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

17/100 Stable Rank 307 of 320
Ethnic change3/20
Asylum0/20
School5/20
Language0/20
Housing9/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate50.6%
Avg home ownership67.3%
Avg social rent10.7%
Degree or above27%
No qualifications18.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)67.3%
Social rent (2021)10.7%
Private rent (2021)20.4%
Ownership (2041)67%
Social rent (2041)10.6%
Social rent change-0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 15,949 pupils.

WBI pupils88.5%
Minority pupils11.5%
EAL growth (projected)+5.3pp
WBI gap (school vs population)5.3pp

Schools are 5pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+2.2pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census