Isle of Anglesey

Wales · Wales
Location map showing Isle of Anglesey highlighted against neighbouring local authorities.
-15.0pp WBI 96.3% → 81.3% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
68,879 Population (2021 Census)
96.3% White British (2021)
87.2% -9.1pp White British (2041 projected)
81.3% -15.0pp White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition trajectory

Census 2011 and 2021 observed, Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061. Shaded band shows 80% confidence interval for White British share.

Ethnic composition, Isle of Anglesey

0 25 50 75 100 % Census 2021 White British 81% White Other 5% Asian 6% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian 80% CI

Ethnic composition: Isle of Anglesey

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
97%
2021
96%
2026 proj
95%
2031 proj
92%
2036 proj
90%
2041 proj
87%
2046 proj
84%
2051 proj
81%
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other

Two-model comparison: White British, 2051

±0.0pp spread
Hamilton-Perry (HP) central 81.3% Cohort change ratios from Census 2011 to 2021. Demographic momentum only, no fertility convergence.
Cohort-component 81.3% Births by ethnicity-specific total fertility rate (TFR) with half-convergence to the national mean by 2061. Slower change.

Two independent models trained on the same Census base disagree by 0.0pp on White British share in Isle of Anglesey by 2051. HP captures observed 2011 to 2021 cohort dynamics. The cohort-component model adds explicit fertility assumptions that pull projections toward the national mean. The chart above shows HP. See the methodology for why both numbers are published.

What’s driving change

Shift-share splits the change in White British share into national trend, age structure, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

Why Isle of Anglesey is changing

-0.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+7.4pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.12 · Dissimilarity: 21.8

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections to 2051.

Religious composition trajectory

8 29 49 70 91 % Census 2021 Christian 13% No religion 86% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion

Country of birth

UK-born vs foreign-born share, with projection to 2051.

Nativity trajectory

0 25 50 75 100 % Census 2021 UK-born 87% Foreign-born 13% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

English proficiency

Census 2021

Main language English99.1%
Main language not English0.9%
Cannot speak English well0.2%
Cannot speak English at all0.0%
Total population 3+67,086

ONS Census 2021 (TS029) via NOMIS. Reference date 21 March 2021.

Projection

Projected non-English growth +9.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Service demand pressure

20/100 Stable Rank 281 of 320
Ethnic change14/20
Asylum2/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing5/20

Arrivals over the last 24 years

Annual NINo registrations to adults from overseas in Isle of Anglesey from 2002 to 2025, alongside the UK total for context. The peak year was 2005 (143 registrations). Total over the full period: 1,056 registrations.

03672107143 0k268k537k805k1073k 200220052010201520202025 peak 2005 (143) low 2018 (0) Isle of Anglesey (annual) UK (annual)

DWP Stat-Xplore, NINO Registrations to Adult Overseas Nationals Entering the UK (Ninos cube), aggregated per calendar year by summing the four constituent quarters. Geography: ONS LA codes. Counts are NEW NINo registrations per calendar year. A NINo is issued once per person at the point of first work or claim, so this is a flow measure, not a stock. People who arrive but never register (some students, dependants, retirees) are excluded. Late registrations show in a later year than the year of arrival. Pre-2010 figures used a different administrative system; series is comparable but small methodological revisions to the early years are possible.

Who is arriving

Age and sex profile of 16 NINo registrations to adults from overseas in Isle of Anglesey in 2025. National comparison shown alongside.

Age at registration

18-24 31.2%
25-29 31.2%
30-34 37.5%

Isle of Anglesey   UK marker

Sex

Male 37.5% Female 62.5%

Male share is 16.9pp lower than the UK average (54.4%).

DWP Stat-Xplore Ninos cube, LA × Age band × Sex, rolling year ending Q4 2025 (Jan-Dec 2025 calendar year). Counts are NEW NINo registrations to adult overseas nationals. Age is age at NINo registration, not age at arrival. The registration may follow arrival by months. 'Less than 18' is rare in this dataset because the published Ninos series is filtered to adult overseas nationals; values reflect young workers/claimants close to 18. 'Unknown' age is a small residual.

How Isle of Anglesey changed: 2011 to 2021

Two snapshots from two consecutive Censuses, ten years apart. Population changed from 69,751 in 2011 to 68,879 in 2021 (-1.3%). Non-UK-born residents went from 2,407 (3.5% of population) to 2,295 (3.3%).

Group 2011 2021 Change
UK-born 67,344 96.5% 66,584 96.7% -760
Ireland-born 439 0.6% 338 0.5% -101
EU pre-2001 (France, Germany, Italy, etc.) 519 0.7% 500 0.7% -19
EU 2001-2011 accession (Poland, Romania, Bulgaria, etc.) 228 0.3% 300 0.4% +72
Rest of World 1,221 1.8% 1,157 1.7% -64

Source: ONS Census 2011 KS204EW (NOMIS NM_611_1) and Census 2021 TS012 (NOMIS NM_2032_1), aligned to broad country-of-birth groups. 2011 data uses 2011 LA boundaries; 2021 data uses 2023 boundaries. LAs whose ONS code changed between Censuses (Buckinghamshire, Northamptonshire, North Yorkshire, Somerset reorganisations) are not in this comparison.

Wales labour market

Payrolled employments in the Wales region (December 2024). Provides Isle of Anglesey with regional context. Local-authority RTI is not published; the region is the smallest geography for HMRC's nationality breakdown.

Total employments1,386,800
Non-UK share9.7%
5-year change · Non-EU +53,200
5-year change · EU -6,400

Top industries by non-UK share (Wales)

Administrative and support services 18.4%
Accommodation and food service activities 16.8%
Health and social work 13.8%
Manufacturing 11.8%
Transportation and storage 11.4%

Source: HMRC Real Time Information via ONS, payrolled employments by region and industrial sector, July 2014 to December 2024. Counts are employments not employees; suppressed cells appear as missing.

Health by ethnic group

Share reporting "not good health" in each of Isle of Anglesey's largest ethnic groups, Census 2021.

White 20.7%
White: English 20.7%
White: Gypsy or Irish Traveller 15.9%

ONS Census 2021 (RM043 - General health by ethnic group by age) via NOMIS. All ages, no age-standardisation: younger ethnic-group populations will show lower rates partly because they're younger, not necessarily because they're healthier. Group labels shortened for display.

How NHS care for overseas residents is funded (national context)

Most non-UK residents in Isle of Anglesey pay for NHS care up-front through the Immigration Health Surcharge (IHS), which is added to most visa applications. Asylum seekers, refugees, ILR holders and Irish citizens are exempt. Visitors and undocumented residents are charged at 150% of the national NHS tariff. The figures below are England + Wales national totals; per-LA NHS cost-recovery is not centrally published.

Current IHS rate (adult, per year) £1,035
IHS rate, students/under-18s (per year) £776
IHS revenue 2024/25 (£m) £1,315.6m
Cumulative IHS revenue 2015–2024 £6.9bn
IHS rate history
  • From 2015-04-06: £200/year adult, £150/year students/under-18s
  • From 2019-01-08: £400/year adult, £300/year students/under-18s
  • From 2020-10-27: £624/year adult, £470/year students/under-18s
  • From 2024-02-06: £1035/year adult, £776/year students/under-18s
Indicative charges for visitors and undocumented residents

Maternity care is classified as "immediately necessary": it cannot be refused or delayed for charging, but it is invoiced afterwards at 150% of the NHS national tariff.

  • Routine vaginal delivery, no complications: £3,000–£5,500
  • Caesarean section: £5,000–£7,500
  • Premature birth with NICU stay: £15,000–£30,000+
  • Antenatal appointment: £150–£400 each

Sources: NHS (Charges to Overseas Visitors) Regulations 2015 (as amended); Home Office IHS caseworker guidance (Sept 2025); House of Commons Library briefing CBP-7274; NHS England NHS Payment Scheme (national tariff). Approximately 80% of identified overseas-visitor debt across all NHS treatment is uncollected (NAO, follow-up scrutiny).

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53.4%
Avg home ownership67.8%
Avg social rent15.5%
Degree or above31.9%
No qualifications17.8%

Housing

Composition today

How dwellings in Isle of Anglesey are occupied. Single-person households and houses in multiple occupation are the two cleanest signals.

HMO dwellings (Census 2021)25
HMOs per 1,000 population0.36

Sources: MHCLG Council Taxbase 2024 (CTB1, snapshot 7 October 2024) for single-person discount; ONS Census 2021 RM192 for HMO dwellings. HMO Census numbers reflect dwellings classified as HMO on Census Day; current licensing registers held by individual councils are not centrally published.

Tenure by ethnic group

Household ownership rates for Isle of Anglesey's largest ethnic groups, Census 2021.

White: owned 68.7%
White: English: owned 68.9%
White: Gypsy or Irish Traveller: owned 51.8%

ONS Census 2021 (RM134 - Tenure by ethnic group, Household Reference Persons) via NOMIS. Group labels shortened for display.

Tenure projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)67.8%
Social rent (2021)15.5%
Private rent (2021)15.6%
Ownership (2041)64.1%
Social rent (2041)14.7%
Social rent change-0.8pp

Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census