Hyndburn

North West · England
-22.8pp WBI 79.6% → 56.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
82,237 Population (2021 Census)
79.6% White British (2021)
65.7% White British (2041 projected)
56.9% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 79.6%
white other 3.1%
asian 15.1%
black 0.3%
mixed 1.3%
other 0.7%

Projected 2051

white british 56.9%
white other 4.6%
asian 32.3%
black 0.3%
mixed 4.9%
other 1.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-5.6pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.4pp Structural effect
+1.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.38 · Dissimilarity: 11.0

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 21.0% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 91.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 9.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 44.0%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.0%
notEnglishPct 12.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

58/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 53 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum20/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate48.9%
Avg home ownership53.3%
Avg social rent11.6%
Degree or above21.3%
No qualifications19.3%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)53.3%
Social rent (2021)11.6%
Private rent (2021)19.8%
Ownership (2041)45.7%
Social rent (2041)10.5%
Social rent change-1.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.0%
notEnglishPct 12.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+13.9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census