Cumberland

North West · England
-15.8pp WBI 95.1% → 79.3% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
273,254 Population (2021 Census)
95.1% White British (2021)
85.3% White British (2041 projected)
79.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 95.1%
white other 2.6%
asian 1.0%
black 0.5%
mixed 0.5%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 79.3%
white other 6.8%
asian 6.3%
black 2.7%
mixed 2.7%
other 2.2%

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.15 · Dissimilarity: 20.6

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.9%
notEnglishPct 4.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

28/100 Low Pressure Rank 222 of 320
Ethnic change15/20
Asylum9/20
School5/20
Language0/20
Housing0/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.6%
Avg home ownership68.1%
Avg social rent16.5%
Degree or above27.1%
No qualifications20.2%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)68.1%
Social rent (2021)16.5%
Private rent (2021)14%
Ownership (2041)63.6%
Social rent (2041)15.8%
Social rent change-0.7pp

Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 38,805 pupils.

WBI pupils90.5%
Minority pupils9.5%
EAL growth (projected)+4.6pp
WBI gap (school vs population)4.6pp

School and population ethnic composition are closely aligned.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.9%
notEnglishPct 4.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+9.8pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census