Conwy

Wales · Wales
-16.2pp WBI 94.0% → 77.9% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
114,743 Population (2021 Census)
94.1% White British (2021)
84.0% White British (2041 projected)
77.9% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 94.1%
white other 2.8%
asian 1.4%
black 0.7%
mixed 0.6%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 77.9%
white other 6.7%
asian 7.1%
black 2.7%
mixed 3.3%
other 2.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-1.3pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+6.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.17 · Dissimilarity: 19.6

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 20.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.2%
notEnglishPct 3.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

23/100 Stable Rank 261 of 320
Ethnic change15/20
Asylum1/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing8/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate52.4%
Avg home ownership67.5%
Avg social rent11.7%
Degree or above31.7%
No qualifications18.3%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)67.5%
Social rent (2021)11.7%
Private rent (2021)18.7%
Ownership (2041)63.4%
Social rent (2041)11.2%
Social rent change-0.5pp

Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.2%
notEnglishPct 3.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+10.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census