Bridgend

Wales · Wales
-14.6pp WBI 94.7% → 80.1% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
145,490 Population (2021 Census)
94.7% White British (2021)
85.6% White British (2041 projected)
80.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 94.7%
white other 2.1%
asian 1.5%
black 0.8%
mixed 0.6%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 80.1%
white other 5.8%
asian 6.5%
black 2.5%
mixed 3.2%
other 2.0%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-1.3pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+6.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.16 · Dissimilarity: 20.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 95.7%
Foreign-born (2021) 4.3%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 17.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.2%
notEnglishPct 3.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

21/100 Stable Rank 272 of 320
Ethnic change14/20
Asylum1/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing6/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate55.1%
Avg home ownership69.1%
Avg social rent13.6%
Degree or above29.3%
No qualifications21.3%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)69.1%
Social rent (2021)13.6%
Private rent (2021)15%
Ownership (2041)65.5%
Social rent (2041)13.3%
Social rent change-0.3pp

Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.2%
notEnglishPct 3.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+9.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census