Basildon

East of England · England
-37.3pp WBI 82.1% → 44.9% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
187,567 Population (2021 Census)
82.1% White British (2021)
60.6% White British (2041 projected)
44.9% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 82.1%
white other 5.4%
asian 4.3%
black 4.8%
mixed 2.6%
other 0.9%

Projected 2051

white british 44.9%
white other 24.0%
asian 7.3%
black 17.4%
mixed 5.6%
other 0.9%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-7.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
-0.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.41 · Dissimilarity: 8.6

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 88.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 11.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 38.3%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.9%
notEnglishPct 10.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

42/100 Low Pressure Rank 133 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum9/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing13/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.6%
Avg home ownership58.4%
Avg social rent19.3%
Degree or above22.5%
No qualifications18.7%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)58.4%
Social rent (2021)19.3%
Private rent (2021)13.3%
Ownership (2041)51.1%
Social rent (2041)16.2%
Social rent change-3.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.9%
notEnglishPct 10.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+21.5pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census