Thurrock

East of England · England
-48.1pp WBI 66.2% → 18.0% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
175,993 Population (2021 Census)
66.2% White British (2021)
31.6% White British (2041 projected)
18.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 66.2%
white other 10.5%
asian 6.9%
black 11.9%
mixed 3.0%
other 1.5%

Projected 2051

white british 18.0%
white other 38.9%
asian 14.5%
black 20.1%
mixed 4.5%
other 4.0%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

-14.7pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.1pp Structural effect
-8.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.62 · Dissimilarity: 11.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 35.5% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 79.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 21.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 55.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 88.7%
notEnglishPct 22.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

60/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 44 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum5/20
School18/20
Language0/20
Housing17/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate54.7%
Avg home ownership51.2%
Avg social rent14%
Degree or above21.5%
No qualifications17.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)51.2%
Social rent (2021)14%
Private rent (2021)16%
Ownership (2041)39%
Social rent (2041)9.3%
Social rent change-4.7pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 31,117 pupils.

WBI pupils47.9%
Minority pupils52.1%
EAL growth (projected)+18.3pp
WBI gap (school vs population)18.3pp

Schools are 18pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 88.7%
notEnglishPct 22.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+34.6pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census