Leeds

Yorkshire and The Humber · England
-40.1pp WBI 73.4% → 33.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
811,953 Population (2021 Census)
73.4% White British (2021)
48.7% White British (2041 projected)
33.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 73.4%
white other 5.7%
asian 9.7%
black 5.6%
mixed 3.4%
other 2.3%

Projected 2051

white british 33.3%
white other 10.1%
asian 10.5%
black 18.7%
mixed 6.2%
other 21.2%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-7.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.1pp Structural effect
-1.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.55 · Dissimilarity: 2.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 14.0% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 84.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 15.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 46.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 90.9%
notEnglishPct 18.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

60/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 37 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum10/20
School15/20
Language0/20
Housing15/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate51.7%
Avg home ownership48%
Avg social rent17.5%
Degree or above29.5%
No qualifications15.3%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)48%
Social rent (2021)17.5%
Private rent (2021)19.2%
Ownership (2041)38.1%
Social rent (2041)16%
Social rent change-1.4pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 129,264 pupils.

WBI pupils58.9%
Minority pupils41.1%
EAL growth (projected)+14.5pp
WBI gap (school vs population)14.5pp

Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 90.9%
notEnglishPct 18.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+24.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census