Blackpool

North West · England
-14.1pp WBI 90.4% → 76.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
141,039 Population (2021 Census)
90.4% White British (2021)
82.1% White British (2041 projected)
76.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 90.4%
white other 4.3%
asian 2.6%
black 0.5%
mixed 1.6%
other 0.6%

Projected 2051

white british 76.3%
white other 14.8%
asian 3.7%
black 0.7%
mixed 3.7%
other 0.9%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.3pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.1pp Structural effect
+4.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.25 · Dissimilarity: 15.9

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 92.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 7.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 40.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.6%
notEnglishPct 8.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

57/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 60 of 320
Ethnic change12/20
Asylum20/20
School8/20
Language0/20
Housing16/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53.7%
Avg home ownership55.8%
Avg social rent10%
Degree or above21.8%
No qualifications23.8%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)55.8%
Social rent (2021)10%
Private rent (2021)31%
Ownership (2041)53.7%
Social rent (2041)10.1%
Social rent change+0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 19,547 pupils.

WBI pupils82.1%
Minority pupils17.9%
EAL growth (projected)+8.3pp
WBI gap (school vs population)8.3pp

Schools are 8pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.6%
notEnglishPct 8.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+8.3pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census