East Lindsey

East Midlands · England
-2.2pp WBI 95.6% → 93.4% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
142,295 Population (2021 Census)
95.6% White British (2021)
94.3% White British (2041 projected)
93.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 95.6%
white other 2.2%
asian 0.8%
black 0.2%
mixed 1.0%
other 0.2%

Projected 2051

white british 93.4%
white other 3.0%
asian 0.8%
black 0.2%
mixed 2.4%
other 0.2%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

-1.0pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+6.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.13 · Dissimilarity: 21.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 95.9%
Foreign-born (2021) 4.1%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 25.6%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.5%
notEnglishPct 3.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

16/100 Stable Rank 308 of 320
Ethnic change2/20
Asylum4/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing11/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate48.3%
Avg home ownership67.7%
Avg social rent11.2%
Degree or above21.3%
No qualifications25%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)67.7%
Social rent (2021)11.2%
Private rent (2021)20.2%
Ownership (2041)67.4%
Social rent (2041)11.2%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.5%
notEnglishPct 3.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+1.3pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census