Worthing

South East · England
-13.9pp WBI 85.0% → 71.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
111,338 Population (2021 Census)
85.0% White British (2021)
76.9% White British (2041 projected)
71.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 85.0%
white other 6.3%
asian 3.9%
black 1.1%
mixed 2.6%
other 1.0%

Projected 2051

white british 71.1%
white other 15.3%
asian 4.8%
black 1.8%
mixed 5.9%
other 1.0%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-4.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+2.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.35 · Dissimilarity: 11.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 87.9%
Foreign-born (2021) 12.1%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 39.0%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.7%
notEnglishPct 10.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

26/100 Low Pressure Rank 244 of 320
Ethnic change12/20
Asylum1/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing13/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58%
Avg home ownership64.4%
Avg social rent9.3%
Degree or above30.2%
No qualifications15.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)64.4%
Social rent (2021)9.3%
Private rent (2021)21.2%
Ownership (2041)62.2%
Social rent (2041)9%
Social rent change-0.3pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.7%
notEnglishPct 10.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+8.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census