Sunderland

North East · England
-12.4pp WBI 92.9% → 80.5% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
274,173 Population (2021 Census)
92.9% White British (2021)
86.4% White British (2041 projected)
80.5% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 92.9%
white other 1.7%
asian 3.0%
black 1.0%
mixed 0.9%
other 0.5%

Projected 2051

white british 80.5%
white other 4.9%
asian 5.3%
black 6.0%
mixed 2.6%
other 0.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-1.9pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.20 · Dissimilarity: 18.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.9%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.1%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 19.9%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.4%
notEnglishPct 5.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

40/100 Low Pressure Rank 144 of 320
Ethnic change10/20
Asylum14/20
School9/20
Language0/20
Housing7/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53.5%
Avg home ownership56.1%
Avg social rent25.5%
Degree or above23.7%
No qualifications21.9%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)56.1%
Social rent (2021)25.5%
Private rent (2021)14.4%
Ownership (2041)53.5%
Social rent (2041)24.4%
Social rent change-1.2pp

Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 41,568 pupils.

WBI pupils84.3%
Minority pupils15.7%
EAL growth (projected)+8.6pp
WBI gap (school vs population)8.6pp

Schools are 9pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.4%
notEnglishPct 5.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+6.5pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census