Rother

South East · England
-4.9pp WBI 91.7% → 86.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
93,114 Population (2021 Census)
91.7% White British (2021)
88.7% White British (2041 projected)
86.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 91.7%
white other 3.9%
asian 1.5%
black 0.6%
mixed 1.8%
other 0.5%

Projected 2051

white british 86.8%
white other 7.0%
asian 1.4%
black 0.6%
mixed 3.7%
other 0.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.1pp Structural effect
+5.1pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.22 · Dissimilarity: 17.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 92.5%
Foreign-born (2021) 7.5%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 39.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.9%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

21/100 Stable Rank 275 of 320
Ethnic change5/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing16/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate49.2%
Avg home ownership71.9%
Avg social rent10%
Degree or above29.3%
No qualifications18.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)71.9%
Social rent (2021)10%
Private rent (2021)16.1%
Ownership (2041)71.5%
Social rent (2041)10%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.9%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+3pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census