Hartlepool

North East · England
-3.2pp WBI 95.0% → 91.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
92,338 Population (2021 Census)
95.0% White British (2021)
93.1% White British (2041 projected)
91.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 95.0%
white other 1.4%
asian 1.8%
black 0.5%
mixed 0.7%
other 0.6%

Projected 2051

white british 91.8%
white other 2.2%
asian 2.2%
black 0.9%
mixed 1.9%
other 0.9%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-1.6pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+6.1pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.15 · Dissimilarity: 20.5

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 96.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 4.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 24.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.9%
notEnglishPct 4.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

40/100 Low Pressure Rank 146 of 320
Ethnic change3/20
Asylum20/20
School7/20
Language0/20
Housing10/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53.4%
Avg home ownership57.4%
Avg social rent22.9%
Degree or above24.2%
No qualifications22.6%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)57.4%
Social rent (2021)22.9%
Private rent (2021)17.4%
Ownership (2041)56.7%
Social rent (2041)22.9%
Social rent change-0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 14,975 pupils.

WBI pupils88.5%
Minority pupils11.5%
EAL growth (projected)+6.5pp
WBI gap (school vs population)6.5pp

Schools are 7pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.9%
notEnglishPct 4.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+2pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census