Greenwich

London · England
-29.1pp WBI 41.4% → 12.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
289,065 Population (2021 Census)
41.4% White British (2021)
21.0% White British (2041 projected)
12.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 41.4%
white other 14.3%
asian 13.2%
black 21.0%
mixed 6.0%
other 4.2%

Projected 2051

white british 12.3%
white other 16.8%
asian 9.9%
black 16.7%
mixed 8.0%
other 36.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

-10.9pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+2.2pp Structural effect
-6.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.86 · Dissimilarity: 33.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 13.8% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 62.5%
Foreign-born (2021) 37.5%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 73.6%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 81.8%
notEnglishPct 36.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

54/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 75 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum2/20
School13/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate45.3%
Avg home ownership27.7%
Avg social rent19.5%
Degree or above30.6%
No qualifications10.6%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)27.7%
Social rent (2021)19.5%
Private rent (2021)18.7%
Ownership (2041)26.3%
Social rent (2041)17.9%
Social rent change-1.6pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 43,337 pupils.

WBI pupils28.1%
Minority pupils71.9%
EAL growth (projected)+13.3pp
WBI gap (school vs population)13.3pp

Schools are 13pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 81.8%
notEnglishPct 36.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+20.4pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census