Dudley

West Midlands · England
-32.1pp WBI 82.4% → 50.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
323,488 Population (2021 Census)
82.4% White British (2021)
63.5% White British (2041 projected)
50.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 82.4%
white other 2.5%
asian 8.4%
black 2.5%
mixed 2.8%
other 1.4%

Projected 2051

white british 50.3%
white other 10.5%
asian 16.1%
black 11.8%
mixed 7.3%
other 4.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-6.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.7pp Structural effect
+0.9pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.40 · Dissimilarity: 9.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 10.1% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 92.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 7.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 28.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.5%
notEnglishPct 8.9%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

54/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 71 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum11/20
School13/20
Language0/20
Housing10/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate52.6%
Avg home ownership59%
Avg social rent17.2%
Degree or above22.3%
No qualifications20.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)59%
Social rent (2021)17.2%
Private rent (2021)13%
Ownership (2041)49.9%
Social rent (2041)15.8%
Social rent change-1.4pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 47,488 pupils.

WBI pupils69.6%
Minority pupils30.4%
EAL growth (projected)+12.8pp
WBI gap (school vs population)12.8pp

Schools are 13pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.5%
notEnglishPct 8.9%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+18.9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census