Eastbourne

South East · England
-13.4pp WBI 82.1% → 68.7% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
101,680 Population (2021 Census)
82.1% White British (2021)
73.8% White British (2041 projected)
68.7% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 82.1%
white other 8.7%
asian 3.5%
black 1.3%
mixed 2.7%
other 1.7%

Projected 2051

white british 68.7%
white other 17.2%
asian 4.3%
black 1.8%
mixed 5.8%
other 2.2%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-5.3pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.6pp Structural effect
+1.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.40 · Dissimilarity: 10.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 84.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 15.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 58.9%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.7%
notEnglishPct 14.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

34/100 Low Pressure Rank 183 of 320
Ethnic change12/20
Asylum2/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate52.8%
Avg home ownership57%
Avg social rent12.4%
Degree or above28.5%
No qualifications17.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)57%
Social rent (2021)12.4%
Private rent (2021)25.9%
Ownership (2041)54.9%
Social rent (2041)11.9%
Social rent change-0.5pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.7%
notEnglishPct 14.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+8.3pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census