Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole

South West · England
-26.4pp WBI 82.4% → 56.0% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
400,195 Population (2021 Census)
82.4% White British (2021)
64.2% White British (2041 projected)
56.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 82.4%
white other 9.0%
asian 3.4%
black 2.2%
mixed 1.6%
other 1.4%

Projected 2051

white british 56.0%
white other 15.9%
asian 12.0%
black 5.6%
mixed 5.6%
other 4.9%

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.39 · Dissimilarity: 9.6

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.7%
notEnglishPct 16.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

27/100 Low Pressure Rank 227 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum7/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing0/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate55.6%
Avg home ownership59.6%
Avg social rent10.4%
Degree or above30.3%
No qualifications15.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)59.6%
Social rent (2021)10.4%
Private rent (2021)24.4%
Ownership (2041)51.5%
Social rent (2041)9.2%
Social rent change-1.2pp

Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.7%
notEnglishPct 16.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+18.2pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census