Kingston upon Hull, City of

Yorkshire and The Humber · England
-37.2pp WBI 83.9% → 46.7% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
267,013 Population (2021 Census)
83.9% White British (2021)
61.3% White British (2041 projected)
46.7% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 83.9%
white other 7.9%
asian 2.8%
black 1.9%
mixed 1.7%
other 1.9%

Projected 2051

white british 46.7%
white other 28.3%
asian 3.7%
black 7.1%
mixed 2.4%
other 11.7%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-5.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+1.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.37 · Dissimilarity: 10.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 86.9%
Foreign-born (2021) 13.1%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 41.1%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 90.0%
notEnglishPct 20.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

48/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 95 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum14/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing14/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.1%
Avg home ownership45.9%
Avg social rent25.8%
Degree or above20.8%
No qualifications24.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)45.9%
Social rent (2021)25.8%
Private rent (2021)23.6%
Ownership (2041)38.9%
Social rent (2041)24.6%
Social rent change-1.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 90.0%
notEnglishPct 20.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+22.6pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census